Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 109.049972 120.955660 133.234434 146.816733 161.392317 176.536962 193.434906
2024-10-13 90.024002 107.549488 126.581166 148.664708 173.462938 200.331067 231.521263
2024-10-20 73.137073 93.997186 117.806120 146.692822 180.486459 218.469517 264.078676
2024-10-27 60.466549 83.421494 110.892474 145.620531 187.764491 236.673220 297.117520
2024-11-03 53.160271 78.200725 109.456098 150.394988 201.631542 262.677823 339.895308
2024-11-10 46.611371 72.981518 107.248572 153.639371 213.351351 286.186676 380.214393
2024-11-17 41.480296 68.902386 105.898418 157.510449 225.623772 310.432592 421.860978
2024-11-24 37.507039 65.871838 105.494964 162.298205 238.948791 336.123422 465.758878
2024-12-01 31.035055 58.341537 98.113503 156.979975 238.473411 343.918701 487.005455
2024-12-08 26.434494 53.018870 93.281704 154.636399 241.541725 356.030890 513.711578
2024-12-15 23.436600 49.841322 91.245007 155.956458 249.427411 374.448193 548.777470
2024-12-22 21.071560 47.395552 90.045134 158.281028 258.612184 394.650903 586.445816
2024-12-29 19.662591 46.518316 91.311742 164.454065 273.658280 423.456872 636.626509
2025-01-05 17.871853 44.716649 90.934527 168.071934 285.122850 447.651434 681.188228
2025-01-12 15.422861 41.307542 87.593453 166.849313 289.386270 461.914274 712.555077
2025-01-19 13.385983 38.384449 84.782956 166.215884 294.372536 477.180564 745.480058
2025-01-26 12.501419 37.724433 85.839857 171.803391 308.811811 506.053824 797.616899
2025-02-02 11.451680 36.539844 85.831314 175.574795 320.517468 531.190612 844.922404
2025-02-09 10.587431 35.632299 86.223904 179.959644 333.201147 557.885296 894.729987
2025-02-16 9.913001 35.065546 87.189284 185.307837 347.474754 587.099911 948.484902
2025-02-23 8.117122 31.396711 81.856773 179.480941 343.861139 589.966819 964.846806
2025-03-02 6.881466 28.885872 78.535422 176.916585 345.244843 600.095039 991.582833
2025-03-09 6.142472 27.576472 77.525888 178.387376 353.126881 619.980439 1032.572415